See a decision's cash impact before making it
Scenario planning models compare base, downside and upside cases on explicit drivers like collection days and hiring.
Cash flow forecasting and financial forecasting services that give CFOs a reliable view of liquidity, runway and covenant headroom, refreshed from live accounting data.
Cash flow forecasting is one of the most important tools a finance team has. It is also one of the most fragile. Forecasts often live in a spreadsheet that one person maintains. It is rebuilt every week from exports, with formulas nobody else fully understands. When that person is away, or the board asks for a scenario at short notice, the forecast cannot keep up.
We build cash flow forecasting models that connect to your accounting system or ERP, and to bank data through bank feeds or statement files. Receivables, payables, payroll, tax and loan payments flow in on a schedule. Your finance team stops copying numbers between files. It spends that time reviewing assumptions and explaining changes instead.
You get three views. A rolling 13-week cash flow forecast for treasury decisions, such as when to draw on a credit line. A longer financial forecast for planning and budgeting. And scenario views that show how a hiring plan, new payment terms or a delayed contract would change your cash position.
Every model is documented, owned by your team and refreshed on a schedule you control.
A cash flow forecast estimates cash inflows and cash outflows over a set period, and the cash balance at each point. Unlike a profit forecast, it follows when money actually moves. When customers pay. When suppliers are paid. When payroll, rent, tax and loan payments fall due.
A good cash flow forecast answers three practical questions. Do we have enough cash to meet our commitments over the coming weeks and months? When could we run short, and by how much? How much room is there to invest, hire or take on new commitments without breaching a covenant, meaning a condition in a loan agreement, or a minimum cash level?
For a CFO, the forecast is also a communication tool. It supports board reporting, conversations with lenders and investors, and runway discussions, meaning how long current cash will last, during growth or restructuring.
Different decisions need different cash flow forecasting methods. A treasurer deciding whether to delay a supplier payment needs a weekly view. A CFO planning a new office needs a view of the next two years. One model cannot do both well.
The direct method forecasts receipts and payments line by line, from customer collections to payroll and tax dates.
The indirect method starts from forecast net income and adjusts for non-cash items and working capital changes, suiting longer-term planning and lender reporting.
A rolling forecast over 13 weeks always looks a quarter ahead and rolls forward weekly with actuals.
A driver-based monthly financial forecast uses headcount, pricing, volumes and payment terms over one to three years.
Scenario planning models compare base, downside and upside cases on explicit drivers like collection days and hiring.
Sensitivity tables show which drivers move cash most, so forecasting effort goes where it counts.
So we build the method that matches the decision. Some finance teams need more than one. When they do, we connect the models so that each one reconciles to the others. Leadership then sees one consistent story about cash, whether the question is about next week or next year. A lender, an auditor and a board member all see figures that agree.
Every method below uses the same principle. Inputs come from your systems automatically. Assumptions are written down and easy to change. And forecast versus actual is tracked every cycle, so accuracy is measured every cycle instead of drifting unnoticed. Your team can see which categories are reliable and which need more attention.
Every engagement produces financial forecasting models your finance team owns and can maintain. Nothing depends on us to keep it running.
A connected forecast model links accounting, ERP and bank data, with documented assumptions and a full audit trail.
The rolling 13-week view shows balances, minimum cash, covenant headroom and variance against last week.
Budget and forecast integration means budget forecasting, reforecasts and cash planning share the same drivers.
A scenario dashboard shows base, downside and upside cases with the drivers behind each.
A model guide, update checklist and handover sessions let anyone on the team run the forecast.
We share sample versions built on demo data in the first consultation, so you can see the structure before work starts. Each deliverable answers one question the CFO is regularly asked. Where is cash heading? What changed since last week? Are we on budget? What happens if a key customer pays late? Each answer can be traced back to a transaction or a written assumption. That traceability is what lets the CFO answer a follow-up question on the spot.
Already have a forecast in Excel or a planning tool? We will review your model, assumptions and data sources. Then we show where accuracy, automation or scenario coverage can improve. It is a working session, not a sales pitch. Book a consultation to arrange your review.
Cash flow forecasting, budget forecasting and financial forecasting are related, but each answers a different question. Finance teams need all three. They work best when they share drivers and data, so a change in one shows up in the others.
| Main question | Enough cash, and when? | On track against the approved plan? | Where is the business heading over one to three years? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Basis | Timing of receipts and payments | Revenue and expense targets, recorded when earned or incurred | Drivers across income statement, balance sheet and cash |
| Horizon and update | 13 weeks to 12 months, updated weekly | Annual, reforecast monthly or quarterly | Quarterly to multi-year, updated each planning cycle |
| Main users | CFO, treasury, controllers and lenders | Department heads, FP&A and leadership | CFO, CEO, board and investors |
| Typical decisions | Payment timing, credit lines, covenant management | Spending control, hiring, budget moves | Strategy, funding, expansion and valuation |
| Risk if missing | Surprise shortfalls and rushed financing | Overspending found too late to fix | Strategy set without its financial consequences |
The table compares a cash flow forecast, a budget forecast and a broader financial forecast, row by row.
Until we can publish client results, we show our work on demo data. Each sample below uses a fictional company. It uses the structure we would build for you. Every chart title states its insight, so the decision is clear at a glance. Forecast accuracy is tracked inside the 13-week view, so the team can see by week and category where assumptions need work. We walk through them live in the first consultation.
Forecast closing cash balance by week, next 13 weeks
So what: Collect the two large invoices on time or draw on the credit line before week 9.
| Week | Receipts | Payments | Closing balance |
|---|---|---|---|
| W7 | $0.6M | $0.9M | $1.8M |
| W8 | $0.7M | $0.9M | $1.6M |
| W9 | $0.5M | $0.8M | $1.3M |
| W10 | $0.85M | $0.6M | $1.55M |
Cash effect of each working capital driver vs target
So what: Chasing the ten largest overdue accounts frees more cash than any other lever.
| Driver | Actual days | Target days | Cash effect |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receivables | 52 | 46 | $820K |
| Inventory | 61 | 57 | $310K |
| Payables | 38 | 40 | $170K |
Closing cash by scenario, next 13 weeks
So what: Agree a credit line draw trigger before the downside case becomes the base.
| Scenario | Key assumption | Lowest balance | Week |
|---|---|---|---|
| Base | Current payment terms | $1.3M | W9 |
| Downside | Top customer pays 30 days late | $0.9M | W9 |
| On time | Two large invoices collected on time | $1.8M | W7 |
The 13-week cash position view tracks receipts, payments, closing balance and minimum cash by week, with forecast error tracked each cycle.
The working capital view tracks days to collect, days to pay and inventory days, and the cash effect of each.
The scenario view tracks base, downside and upside cash curves with runway and covenant headroom for each.
Our process moves your forecast from spreadsheets to a connected, documented model in five clear stages. Your finance team stays involved throughout, with a short review and sign-off at the end of each stage. That matters because the model must reflect how your business actually collects and pays. We start with advice: if your current forecast only needs better assumptions or training, we say so before proposing a new model.
Agree the decisions. Agree what the forecast must decide. We review your current forecast, accounts, banks and payment terms, and interview the CFO and controller.
We do not switch off your current forecast on day one. Instead, the new model runs alongside it for several cycles. Each week we compare both forecasts against what actually happened in the bank. Your team watches the new model earn its place before the old spreadsheet is retired. By the time we hand over, the people running the forecast already trust it, and they know how to explain it.
Support after handover is optional. Your team can take it in-house straight away, or keep us on through advisory or a monthly analytics service, so someone is always accountable for keeping the model accurate as the business changes.
Spreadsheets are where most cash flow forecasting starts. For a small business with a few bank accounts, they can work well. But as the business grows, the same weaknesses tend to appear, and cash shortages are spotted late.
They usually surface at the worst moment. During a funding round. Before a covenant test. Or when collections suddenly drop and the board wants to know what it means for the next quarter. At that point, the team discovers that the forecast takes days to update and nobody can run a downside case by tomorrow.
Weekly exports introduce errors and leave little time to review assumptions or explain variances.
When only one analyst understands the formulas, the forecast is late or skipped when they are away.
Separate assumptions mean finance presents two futures and cannot quickly say which is right.
A downside case that takes days to build means hiring and spending decisions go ahead unchecked.
None of this is a skills problem. Finance teams are usually very good at Excel. These are structural limits of a manual process that has outgrown the business. The four failure points below explain why a connected model is worth the move, even for teams that are comfortable with their spreadsheets.
Accuracy depends on data quality, the forecast horizon and how regular your receipts are. A short-term forecast built on the direct method is usually more accurate than a long-range one. We track forecast against actual every cycle and refine the assumptions, so accuracy can be measured and improved each cycle.
A focused 13-week forecast connected to one accounting system typically takes 4 to 6 weeks. Multi-entity models with scenarios, budget links and board dashboards typically take 8 to 12 weeks (typical, depends on scope). We confirm the scope, phases and timeline in writing after the discovery call.
No. We build the model, connect the data and train your team to run it. Our financial forecasting services remove manual work and add structure. Your FP&A team can then focus on analysis and advice instead of data preparation, and keeps full ownership of the model.
Tell us about your current forecast, your systems and the decisions you need to support. We will outline the right forecasting method, the data connections required, a realistic scope and the engagement model that fits your team. Book a consultation to get started with a clear, written plan.
A cash flow forecast is only as good as the data behind it. So we connect to the systems you already run, rather than asking you to change them. We are platform-neutral, and we sell no software, so the choice is always about what fits your stack, your team and your budget.
The most common sources are listed below. If your stack differs, we check the available data and connection options during discovery. Then we recommend the simplest reliable route into the forecast. We also flag any data quality problems that would weaken it, such as missing due dates or unapplied payments, and fix them at the source.
Some inputs will always live in spreadsheets, such as one-off capital projects or management adjustments. We bring these in through controlled input templates with built-in checks. Every change is captured and visible in the audit trail.
Automation tools handle the routine steps. Zapier, Make or n8n can load bank files, remind owners about overdue invoices and send the weekly forecast pack to stakeholders. These small steps are what usually make a weekly forecast slip to monthly. Automating them keeps the rhythm steady, and the finance team keeps its focus on judgment. A forecast that arrives on time every week is a forecast leadership will actually use.
Cash flow forecasting shares its data foundation with the rest of your financial analytics. The work done to connect accounting and ERP data for the forecast also supports reporting, dashboards and margin analysis. That means each later project starts faster and costs less effort.
Our guides and templates are a useful starting point if you are building your first forecast internally. Industry pages cover forecasting for financial services and real estate, where funding cycles and project timing drive cash. Each related service below reuses the same connected data, so nothing is built twice.